Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.216749 0.258543 0.305464 0.361932 0.427927 0.502497 0.593018
2025-03-02 0.145769 0.196342 0.259589 0.344036 0.453310 0.589360 0.770932
2025-03-09 0.116702 0.171979 0.246804 0.354501 0.504352 0.704085 0.988776
2025-03-16 0.090525 0.144171 0.221883 0.341090 0.517359 0.765970 1.140014
2025-03-23 0.077130 0.131308 0.214466 0.349085 0.558549 0.868175 1.355242
2025-03-30 0.066418 0.120176 0.207145 0.354935 0.595612 0.966506 1.573320
2025-04-06 0.056095 0.107568 0.195093 0.350777 0.615326 1.039059 1.757879
2025-04-13 0.047901 0.097035 0.184588 0.347100 0.634351 1.111097 1.947109
2025-04-20 0.043311 0.092200 0.183066 0.358280 0.679021 1.228339 2.220104
2025-04-27 0.041961 0.093308 0.192321 0.389680 0.762067 1.417308 2.630225
2025-05-04 0.038732 0.090043 0.192761 0.404478 0.816306 1.560806 2.973685
2025-05-11 0.033899 0.082551 0.183806 0.399852 0.833456 1.639306 3.207882
2025-05-18 0.028627 0.073368 0.170537 0.385835 0.832839 1.688743 3.400750
2025-05-25 0.023770 0.064210 0.155951 0.367165 0.820985 1.716398 3.556954
2025-06-01 0.021835 0.061669 0.155416 0.378300 0.871077 1.867858 3.963488
2025-06-08 0.018496 0.054904 0.144162 0.364058 0.865763 1.908657 4.155855
2025-06-15 0.016975 0.052587 0.142994 0.372549 0.910398 2.054367 4.570736
2025-06-22 0.015501 0.050096 0.140998 0.378762 0.950515 2.194076 4.984859
2025-06-29 0.013690 0.046259 0.134984 0.374347 0.965691 2.281932 5.297451
2025-07-06 0.012134 0.042839 0.129496 0.370441 0.981484 2.372284 5.622631
2025-07-13 0.011380 0.041746 0.130115 0.382314 1.036479 2.554233 6.162144
2025-07-20 0.011455 0.043340 0.138455 0.415652 1.147744 2.872455 7.028222
2025-07-27 0.010879 0.042660 0.140197 0.431359 1.216336 3.098100 7.702578